I actually feel sympathy for those individuals who desired to transform the entirety of Sri Lanka into a Sinhala-Buddhist nation. Over the past two months, I have been researching instances of similar attempts to engineer societies in other countries and examining their ultimate outcomes. Such endeavours yield both short-term and long-term consequences in other countries. We have already witnessed the successful realization of the short-term consequences: civil war and economic deterioration. Looking at the long-term implications in such countries, there are two possible scenarios.
The first involves the fragmentation of the country into two or more separate nations, while the second entails being absorbed or annexed by another country. In the case of Sri Lanka, this could manifest as the country splitting into two states or India annexing Sri Lanka. Both outcomes are equally plausible, although I believe the latter is more likely. Several indicators point towards this possibility. In a contemporary context, three indicators are present before a country is annexed. Firstly, there must be internal divisions within the population. Secondly, the economy must be failing. Lastly, a rising superpower in close proximity is necessary. In Sri Lanka, all three indicators align. All indications strongly suggest this inevitable long-term outcome.
Generally, individuals tend to have difficulty envisioning events beyond their own lifetimes. In the grand scheme of history, a human lifetime is merely a fleeting moment, during which significant changes rarely occur. It saddens me that I won't be alive to witness the moment when these Sinhala-Buddhist nationalists realize the consequences of their actions.
Note - I have previously written an article exploring the geopolitical factors that impact the sovereignty of Sri Lanka. For a clearer understanding, I encourage you to give it a read (link).
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